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Analysts expect opposition Democratic Party to make significant gains in upcoming election in Seoul, South Korea

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Storyline:
Most analysts have predicted that South Korea's opposition Democratic Party will make great gains in the upcoming parliamentary elections. The party has vowed to block President Yoon Suk-yeol's policies for his last three years in office.

South Korea's opposition leader Lee Jae-myung on Saturday was on the campaign trail supporting Democratic Party lawmakers vying for a seat in the upcoming National Assembly elections.

The event has focused squarely on President Yoon Suk-yeol and his party.

Campaigning for the National Assembly often looks like a presidential election in South Korea, as in many ways the results are just as important.
The opposition party already has a slim majority in the 300-seat assembly and hopes to build on that.

Former Democratic Party Justice Minister Cho Kuk has broken away to form his own party focused squarely on bringing down the president.

He may get his wish if he joins forces with his old party, which is calling the election "judgment day" for the president.

Polls show President Yoon has been gaining in popularity because of the doctors' strike and foreign policy.

But, will that rising popularity translate into support for ruling party lawmakers, given the west or left half of the country usually votes for left-wing parties while the right side of the country coincidentally votes for the right.

As for the MZ generation (millennials and Gen Z members born between 1980 and 2005), pollsters say they could swing either way.

Shotlist:
Seoul, South Korea - April 6, 2024:
1. Various of main opposition Democratic Party leader Lee Jae-myung speaking at campaign rally, attendees;
2. Various of attendees, people taking photos;
3. SOUNDBITE (Korean, dubbed with English) Lee Jae-myung, Democartic Party leader (starting with shot 2/partially overlaid with shot 4):
"A small minority of people close to them have benefited from tens of trillions of won in tax cuts, yet why do they make us suffer?" ;
[SHOT OVERLAYING SOUNDBITE]
4. Camera crew;
[SHOT OVERLAYING SOUNDBITE]
5. Various of people dancing at campaign rally;
Seoul, South Korea - April 5, 2024:
6. SOUNDBITE (Korean, dubbed with English) Rhee Jong-hoon, political commentator (starting with shot 5):
"As we enter the second year of the Yoon Suk Yeol administration, the controversy over the ruling party's judgment has escalated dramatically.";
Seoul, South Korea - Recent:
7. Former Democratic Party Justice Minister Cho Kuk walking, shaking hands with others;
8. Various of Cho Kuk at press conference;
9. Cameras;
10. SOUNDBITE (Korean, dubbed with English) Cho Kuk, former Democratic Party Justice Minister:
"First, I think we can make him a lame duck, and then we can make him a dead duck. He still has three years. I don't know if his three-year term can be served or not. The goal is to neutralize him politically, but ultimately it is uncertain whether or not he will be impeached.";
11. Various of Cho Kuk, press conference in progress, reporters;
Seoul, South Korea - April 5, 2024:
12. SOUNDBITE (Korean, dubbed with English) Rhee Jong-hoon, political commentator (ending with shot 13):
"It is almost certain that the Democratic Party will win, as skepticism over the judgment of the government is widely held. However, there is a difference in predictions about the extent to which the Democratic Party will win, whether it will simply win by a landslide or a slightly bland victory.";
Seoul, South Korea - Recent:
13. Various of line charts issued by Gallup Korea, press conference held by Seoul Foreign Correspondents' Club;
14. Various of attendees at press conference;
15 SOUNDBITE (Korean, dubbed with English) Heo Jin-jae, research director, Gallup Korea:
"There have been so many changes over the past month. The Korean elections are affected by various variables. Things will not be over until the end.";
Seoul, South Korea - April 6, 2024:
16. Various of campaign rally of opposition Democratic Party.

[RESTRICTIONS: No access Chinese mainland]

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